Nate Silver 2024 Presidential Prediction. Polling data guru nate silver, often trashed for his worst predictions, on wednesday declared donald trump to be the overwhelming favorite to beat president. Nate silver published his latest election forecast, showing former president trump's chances of winning the presidency rising to 58%, his highest numbers since july.
Polling data guru nate silver, often trashed for his worst predictions, on wednesday declared donald trump to be the overwhelming favorite to beat president. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.